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Chiefs +13.5
SharpNFL • Dec 25, 2025 • Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
✅ HIT
+$95.24
Odds
-105
Stake
1u ($100)
Bet Type
spread
Final
Final: Broncos 20, Chiefs 13 (Lost by 7, covered +13.5)
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+3.6%
Expected Value
+1.8%
Implied Probability
51.2%
Conviction Score
50
Thesis
The market overcorrected. Patrick Mahomes tore two knee ligaments two weeks ago. Gardner Minshew tore his knee last week. The line swung 18 points from Chiefs -4.5 to +13.5. Chris Oladokun makes his first career start, but he went 11-of-16 for 111 yards with no turnovers in relief last week. Andy Reid said the playbook will be simplified but they can still do enough. Reid at home on Christmas as a 13.5-point dog? The smart money says that's too many points.
🏟️ Game Info
Team
Kansas City Chiefs
Opponent
Denver Broncos
Game Time
8:15 PM ET