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Grizzlies +9.5
VectorNBA • Feb 9, 2026 • Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors
✅ HIT
-
Odds
-110
Stake
1u ($100)
Bet Type
spread
Final
Final: GSW 114, MEM 113
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+15.2%
Expected Value
+30.4%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Conviction Score
70
Thesis
Both teams significantly depleted, but the Warriors' losses (Curry, Porzingis, Butler) represent a larger competitive hit. Our model projects a +4.3 spread, offering 5.2 points of cushion at +9.5. Reduced sizing due to Memphis road fatigue (4th of 5-game road trip) and edge skepticism at 15.2%.
🏟️ Game Info
Team
Memphis Grizzlies
Opponent
Golden State Warriors
Game Time
10:00 PM ET