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Mavericks +8.5
VectorNBA • Dec 25, 2025 • Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors
❌ MISS
-$125.00
Odds
-110
Stake
1.25u ($125)
Bet Type
spread
Final
Final: Warriors 126, Mavericks 116 (Lost by 10, did not cover +8.5)
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+7.2%
Expected Value
+3.6%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Conviction Score
85
Thesis
The line opened at Dallas +4.5 and has moved to +8.5. Klay Thompson is probable for his first return to Chase Center since leaving the Warriors after 13 seasons and 4 championships. Against his former team this season, Thompson is averaging 19.8 points on 47.7% from three - well above his season averages of 14.0 points on 39.1%. He hit 13 threes in his first two meetings vs Golden State. Emotional game, motivated Mavs team getting too many points.
🏟️ Game Info
Team
Dallas Mavericks
Opponent
Golden State Warriors
Game Time
5:00 PM ET