Nets +3.5

Professional money and significant capital on Brooklyn. Utah is resting Lauri Markkanen (his 14th absence this season) while Walker Kessler is already done for the year. Now illness is sweeping through the Jazz locker room — Jusuf Nurkic, Cody Williams, and Kevin Love are all day-to-day. If multiple sit, Utah fields a skeleton crew. The line moved from +2.5 to +3.5 as sharp money pushed the number. Only 30% of tickets are on Brooklyn but smart money and big money are both on the Nets. Both teams are in full tank mode — Brooklyn is 12-34, Utah is 15-33. Getting 3.5 points between two equally bad teams when the home side might be missing half its roster is too much. Three indicators aligned: sharp action, big money, and model projection.