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Rhode Island Rhode Island +7.5
Rhode Island @ Providence • Dec 6, 2025
❌ MISS
-$150.00
Final Result
Lost 71-90 (lost by 19)
Odds
-110
Stake
1.5u
Risk/Win
+$1.65
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+4.1%
Expected Value
+3.5%
True Probability
55%
Implied Probability
52.40%
Recent Performance
Hit Rate
URI 7-2 entering
Last 5 Games
See game notes
Cushion
Lost by 19, had +7.5
Key Factors
Line Value
Model identified value on Rhode Island +7.5
Fund Assignment
Assigned to ContraFund
Risk Factors
- Standard variance
- Line movement risk
📈 Game Results
Quarter-by-Quarter
Final
Lost 71-90 (lost by 19)
❌ When Line Was Missed
Did not cover
Game Pace
Providence dominated the rivalry matchup
🔍 Post-Game Analysis
What Went Wrong
Result
Lost 71-90 (lost by 19)
Statistical Context
vs Season Average
URI blown out in rivalry game
vs Recent Form
Lost 71-90 (lost by 19)
vs Prop Line
Did not cover Rhode Island +7.5
Percentile Ranking
N/A
💰 Closing Line Value (CLV)
Our Odds
-110
Closing Odds
-110
CLV
0¢
CLV %
0.00%
Verdict
Line held
📝 Key Takeaways
- •Lost 71-90 (lost by 19)
- •Providence dominated the rivalry matchup
Final Verdict
Providence dominated the rivalry matchup
Would bet this again under identical circumstances?
❌ No