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Sacramento Kings Kings +8.5
Sacramento Kings @ Miami Heat • Dec 6, 2025
✅ HIT
+$136.36
Final Result
Won 127-111 (covered by 24.5)
Odds
-110
Stake
1.5u
Risk/Win
+$1.65
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+4.5%
Expected Value
+3.9%
True Probability
55%
Implied Probability
52.40%
Recent Performance
Hit Rate
Kings won outright by 16
Last 5 Games
See game notes
Cushion
Covered +8.5 by 24.5 points
Key Factors
Line Value
Model identified value on Kings +8.5
Fund Assignment
Assigned to ContraFund
Risk Factors
- Standard variance
- Line movement risk
📈 Game Results
Quarter-by-Quarter
Final
Won 127-111 (covered by 24.5)
✅ When Line Was Cleared
Final
Game Pace
Dominant win - LaVine 42 points, 8 threes
🔍 Post-Game Analysis
What Went Right
Result
Won 127-111 (covered by 24.5)
Statistical Context
vs Season Average
Kings biggest road win ever in Miami
vs Recent Form
Won 127-111 (covered by 24.5)
vs Prop Line
Covered Kings +8.5
Percentile Ranking
N/A
💰 Closing Line Value (CLV)
Our Odds
-110
Closing Odds
-110
CLV
0¢
CLV %
0.00%
Verdict
Line held
📝 Key Takeaways
- •Won 127-111 (covered by 24.5)
- •Dominant win - LaVine 42 points, 8 threes
Final Verdict
Dominant win - LaVine 42 points, 8 threes
Would bet this again under identical circumstances?
✅ Yes