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Suns +3.5
CatalystNBA • Jan 30, 2026 • Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers
✅ HIT
+$47.62
Odds
-105
Stake
0.5u ($50)
Bet Type
spread
Final
Cavaliers 113, Suns 126
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+5%
Expected Value
+3%
Implied Probability
51.2%
Conviction Score
40
Thesis
Cleveland is starting a 5-game Western road trip — flying cross-country from Ohio to Phoenix, 3 timezone change. The Cavaliers are missing Evan Mobley (calf, reigning DPOY) and Darius Garland (toe), that's 2 of their top 3 players gone. Meanwhile, Jalen Green returns for Phoenix tonight after missing 3 games — a real scoring boost. Dillon Brooks just dropped a career-high 40 last night in a dominant 114-96 win over Detroit. The Suns are 32-16 against the spread this season and 15-6 at home. Cleveland is 19-30 ATS, one of the worst cover teams in the NBA. The travel, injuries, and situational factors all favor Phoenix at home.
🏟️ Game Info
Team
Phoenix Suns
Opponent
Cleveland Cavaliers
Game Time
9:00 PM ET