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USF +4.5
CatalystNCAAB • Mar 19, 2026 • South Florida vs Louisville
✅ HIT
-
Odds
-110
Stake
1u ($100)
Bet Type
spread
Final
LOU 83, USF 79 (lost by 4, covered +4.5)
📊 Pre-Game Analysis
Edge
+1.5%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Thesis
March Madness Round of 64 (6v11). Louisville missing key player Mikel Brown — major injury edge. Line crashed from -7 to -4.5, may not have fully adjusted. USF is 25-8, AAC champions, 14-1 in last 15 games. Coach Hodgson is from Buffalo (homecoming game). Clear situational catalyst with injury + momentum.
🏟️ Game Info
Team
South Florida
Opponent
Louisville
Game Time
1:30 PM ET