Department of Gambling
Complete Analysis

Portfolio Breakdown

Full mathematical analysis and performance metrics across all funds

Portfolio Overview

Current Balance
$45,547.56
Starting: $40,000.00
Net P/L
+$5,547.56
+55.48u won
Record (W-L-P)
361-299-2
54.70% Win Rate
ROI
+13.87%
Return on capital

Fund Performance

Vector130-119
P/L
+$85.41
ROI
+0.26%
Win %
52.2%
Sharp162-127
P/L
+$3,201.55
ROI
+8.74%
Win %
56.1%
Contra29-21
P/L
+$1,099.75
ROI
+19.73%
Win %
58.0%
Catalyst40-32
P/L
+$1,242.67
ROI
+16.35%
Win %
55.6%
High Conviction Signal

Multi-Fund Consensus

52.8%
win rate

When 2+ funds independently identify the same pick, confidence increases significantly. Each fund uses different models and data — when they converge on the same opportunity, it validates the edge from multiple angles.

Record
19-17
36 total picks
vs Overall
+-2%
above baseline
Net Profit
+$1,204.07
from consensus
ROI
+12.00%
return on risk

Rolling Performance

Last 7 Days
18-29
-$404.34
(-8.34%)
47 positions
Last 30 Days
82-84
-$404.34
(-2.01%)
166 positions
Last 3 Days
7-9
-$294.21
(-15.69%)
16 positions

Drawdown Analysis

Maximum Drawdown

Amount
-$2,368.30
Percent
-5.1%
Peak: 2026-01-10 → Trough: 2026-01-16

Current Drawdown

Amount
-$1,143.99
Days Since Peak
30
Peak was $46691.55 on 2026-01-10

Edge Validation

Does higher edge correlate with better results?

Low Edge (0-5%)
89-65
+15.65% ROI
155 positions
Mid Edge (5-8%)
132-101
+13.63% ROI
233 positions
High Edge (8%+)
119-121
-3.23% ROI
241 positions
Needs Review: Edge not correlating with ROI

Expected Value Analysis

Total Expected
+$5,744.20
Sum of all position EV
Actual Result
+$4,422.07
Real P/L
Variance
-$1,322.10
Actual - Expected
Status
Below EV
by $1,322.10

Capital Deployment

Total Capital Risked
$83,265.00
832.60u total
Capital Deployed %
208%
Of $40,000 starting
Avg Stake
$125.78
1.26u per position
Profit Factor
1.15
Win$ / Loss$

Performance Metrics

Total Won
$42,937.56
Total Lost
$37,390.00
Avg Win
$118.94
Avg Loss
-$125.05
Largest Win
$345.00
Largest Loss
-$250.00
Sharpe Ratio
2.99
97-day sample
CLV
Tracking
Started Nov 27
Best Win Streak
9 Wins
Days Green Streak
0 Days
Best: 6 days

Performance by Sport

NBA

Record126-91
Net P/L+$3,201.69
ROI+12.92%

NCAAB

Record95-73
Net P/L+$1,097.97
ROI+5.63%

NFL

Record52-44
Net P/L+$853.76
ROI+6.57%

NCAAF

Record20-22
Net P/L-$194.31
ROI-3.61%

NHL

Record67-68
Net P/L+$622.64
ROI+4.03%

Soccer

Record0-1
Net P/L-$150.00
ROI-100.00%

NCAAW

Record1-0
Net P/L+$47.62
ROI+95.24%

Performance by Position Type

Props

Record22-26
Win Rate45.8%
Net P/L-$1,178.80
ROI-17.93%

Totals

Record22-24
Win Rate47.8%
Net P/L-$655.04
ROI-11.25%

Spreads

Record254-183
Win Rate58.1%
Net P/L+$6,316.63
ROI+12.08%

Moneyline

Record63-65
Win Rate49.2%
Net P/L+$1,246.59
ROI+9.27%

puckline

Record0-1
Win Rate0.0%
Net P/L-$100.00
ROI-100.00%

Conviction Tier Analysis

Low Conviction

< 1u

Record40-45
Win Rate47.1%
Net P/L-$271.09
ROI-4.70%

Standard

1-1.5u

Record267-204
Win Rate56.7%
Net P/L+$5,808.55
ROI+10.63%

High Conviction

2u+

Record54-50
Win Rate51.9%
Net P/L+$91.92
ROI+1.39%

Recent Activity

2026-02-04
Kraken ML +160
W
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Flames ML +120
W
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Red Wings ML +118
L
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Pelicans -4.5 -115
L
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Rockets -7.5 -105
L
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Detroit Mercy +6.5 -110
W
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-03
Maple Leafs ML +158
W
P/L
+$237.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-03
Maple Leafs ML +158
W
P/L
+$158.00
Balance
$45,796.72
2026-02-03
La Salle +3
L
P/L
-$200.00
Balance
$45,638.72
2026-02-03
La Salle +3
L
P/L
-$125.00
Balance
$45,838.72
2026-02-03
Magic +9.5
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$45,963.72
2026-02-03
Nets +7.5
L
P/L
-$50.00
Balance
$46,063.72
2026-02-03
Nets +7.5
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$46,113.72
2026-02-03
St. Bonaventure +7.5
W
P/L
+$137.61
Balance
$46,213.72
2026-02-03
Western Michigan +10.5
L
P/L
-$150.00
Balance
$46,076.11

Complete Transparency

Every statistic on this page is calculated from real data. We track every dollar risked, every position taken, and every outcome with complete accuracy.

Total Positions
662
Period
Nov 4, 2025 - Present
Starting Capital
$40,000.00
Current Balance
$45,547.56

All formulas are publicly disclosed. No simulation. No fake positions. 100% transparency.