Department of Gambling
Complete Analysis

Portfolio Breakdown

Full mathematical analysis and performance metrics across all funds

Portfolio Overview

Current Balance
$46,101.10
Starting: $40,000.00
Net P/L
+$6,101.10
+61.01u won
Record (W-L-P)
209-150-2
58.22% Win Rate
ROI
+15.25%
Return on capital

Fund Performance

Vector93-85
P/L
+$46.33
ROI
+0.19%
Win %
52.3%
Sharp79-41
P/L
+$4,192.87
ROI
+27.81%
Win %
65.8%
Contra17-11
P/L
+$818.72
ROI
+24.08%
Win %
60.7%
Catalyst20-13
P/L
+$1,043.18
ROI
+29.18%
Win %
60.6%
High Conviction Signal

Multi-Fund Consensus

57.9%
win rate

When 2+ funds independently identify the same pick, confidence increases significantly. Each fund uses different models and data — when they converge on the same opportunity, it validates the edge from multiple angles.

Record
11-8
19 total picks
vs Overall
+-0%
above baseline
Net Profit
+$1,309.06
from consensus
ROI
+23.70%
return on risk

Rolling Performance

Last 7 Days
24-21
-$215.05
(-4.18%)
45 positions
Last 30 Days
153-98
+$6,114.20
(+19.12%)
251 positions
Last 3 Days
3-3
-$120.23
(-17.18%)
6 positions

Drawdown Analysis

Maximum Drawdown

Amount
-$2,040.62
Percent
-5.0%
Peak: 2025-12-18 → Trough: 2025-11-14

Current Drawdown

Amount
-$815.05
Days Since Peak
6
Peak was $46310.21 on 2025-12-18

Edge Validation

Does higher edge correlate with better results?

Low Edge (0-5%)
50-26
+33.43% ROI
77 positions
Mid Edge (5-8%)
58-40
+15.31% ROI
98 positions
High Edge (8%+)
76-68
+2.02% ROI
145 positions
Correlation Working: Higher edge = Higher ROI

Expected Value Analysis

Total Expected
+$3,605.10
Sum of all position EV
Actual Result
+$5,018.88
Real P/L
Variance
+$1,413.78
Actual - Expected
Status
Running Hot
by $1,413.78

Capital Deployment

Total Capital Risked
$46,865.00
460.40u total
Capital Deployed %
117%
Of $40,000 starting
Avg Stake
$129.82
1.28u per position
Profit Factor
1.31
Win$ / Loss$

Performance Metrics

Total Won
$25,846.10
Total Lost
$19,745.00
Avg Win
$122.75
Avg Loss
-$132.06
Largest Win
$345.00
Largest Loss
-$250.00
Sharpe Ratio
5.24
49-day sample
CLV
Tracking
Started Nov 27
Best Win Streak
9 Wins
Days Green Streak
0 Days
Best: 6 days

Performance by Sport

NBA

Record72-45
Net P/L+$2,544.43
ROI+15.60%

NCAAB

Record46-30
Net P/L+$1,183.24
ROI+12.29%

NFL

Record38-34
Net P/L+$770.28
ROI+8.30%

NCAAF

Record15-15
Net P/L+$192.05
ROI+4.71%

NHL

Record38-25
Net P/L+$1,561.09
ROI+21.02%

Soccer

Record0-1
Net P/L-$150.00
ROI-100.00%

Performance by Position Type

Props

Record22-26
Win Rate45.8%
Net P/L-$1,181.44
ROI-17.97%

Totals

Record12-19
Win Rate38.7%
Net P/L-$1,090.59
ROI-26.60%

Spreads

Record139-80
Win Rate63.5%
Net P/L+$6,675.65
ROI+22.99%

Moneyline

Record30-21
Win Rate58.8%
Net P/L+$1,126.54
ROI+18.78%

puckline

Record1-2
Win Rate33.3%
Net P/L-$35.00
ROI-10.77%

Conviction Tier Analysis

Low Conviction

< 1u

Record22-15
Win Rate59.5%
Net P/L+$385.18
ROI+18.13%

Standard

1-1.5u

Record146-102
Win Rate58.9%
Net P/L+$4,527.60
ROI+14.94%

High Conviction

2u+

Record36-31
Win Rate53.7%
Net P/L+$582.38
ROI+4.22%

Recent Activity

2025-12-23
Sharks ML
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$45,495.16
2025-12-23
Ohio +6.5
W
P/L
+$95.24
Balance
$45,595.16
2025-12-23
Pelicans +8.5
L
P/L
-$150.00
Balance
$45,499.92
2025-12-23
Raptors +5.5
W
P/L
+$95.24
Balance
$45,649.92
2025-12-23
Devils ML
L
P/L
-$150.00
Balance
$45,554.68
2025-12-23
WKU +2.5
W
P/L
+$89.29
Balance
$45,704.68
2025-12-22
Jazz +13.5
L
P/L
-$200.00
Balance
$45,615.39
2025-12-22
Colts +5.5
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$45,815.39
2025-12-22
Davidson +16.5
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$45,915.39
2025-12-22
Pelicans -1
W
P/L
+$47.62
Balance
$46,015.39
2025-12-22
Pelicans -1
W
P/L
+$95.24
Balance
$45,967.77
2025-12-22
Hornets +9.5
W
P/L
+$176.99
Balance
$45,872.53
2025-12-22
Blues ML
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$45,695.54
2025-12-21
Wizards +15.5
W
P/L
+$142.86
Balance
$45,795.54
2025-12-21
Bucks +12.5
W
P/L
+$181.82
Balance
$45,652.68

Complete Transparency

Every statistic on this page is calculated from real data. We track every dollar risked, every position taken, and every outcome with complete accuracy.

Total Positions
361
Period
Nov 4, 2025 - Present
Starting Capital
$40,000.00
Current Balance
$46,101.10

All formulas are publicly disclosed. No simulation. No fake positions. 100% transparency.