Department of Gambling
Complete Analysis

Portfolio Breakdown

Full mathematical analysis and performance metrics across all funds

Portfolio Overview

Current Balance
$44,992.08
Starting: $40,000.00
Net P/L
+$4,992.08
+49.92u won
Record (W-L-P)
428-368-3
53.77% Win Rate
ROI
+12.48%
Return on capital

Fund Performance

Vector143-136
P/L
-$350.46
ROI
-1.01%
Win %
51.3%
Sharp181-146
P/L
+$3,025.78
ROI
+7.94%
Win %
55.4%
Contra38-26
P/L
+$1,480.54
ROI
+23.13%
Win %
59.4%
Catalyst56-45
P/L
+$1,422.10
ROI
+13.81%
Win %
55.5%
High Conviction Signal

Multi-Fund Consensus

52.8%
win rate

When 2+ funds independently identify the same pick, confidence increases significantly. Each fund uses different models and data — when they converge on the same opportunity, it validates the edge from multiple angles.

Record
19-17
36 total picks
vs Overall
+-1%
above baseline
Net Profit
+$1,204.07
from consensus
ROI
+12.00%
return on risk

Rolling Performance

Last 7 Days
13-17
-$492.97
(-16.43%)
30 positions
Last 30 Days
56-56
-$346.41
(-3.07%)
113 positions
Last 3 Days
10-15
-$543.91
(-21.76%)
25 positions

Drawdown Analysis

Maximum Drawdown

Amount
-$2,368.30
Percent
-5.1%
Peak: 2026-01-10 → Trough: 2026-01-16

Current Drawdown

Amount
-$1,699.47
Days Since Peak
75
Peak was $46691.55 on 2026-01-10

Edge Validation

Does higher edge correlate with better results?

Low Edge (0-5%)
111-86
+12.16% ROI
199 positions
Mid Edge (5-8%)
133-105
+12.36% ROI
238 positions
High Edge (8%+)
121-124
-3.39% ROI
246 positions
Needs Review: Edge not correlating with ROI

Expected Value Analysis

Total Expected
+$5,975.00
Sum of all position EV
Actual Result
+$3,135.99
Real P/L
Variance
+$2,839.01
Actual - Expected
Status
Running Hot
by $2,839.01

Capital Deployment

Total Capital Risked
$96,265.00
962.65u total
Capital Deployed %
241%
Of $40,000 starting
Avg Stake
$120.48
1.20u per position
Profit Factor
1.14
Win$ / Loss$

Performance Metrics

Total Won
$50,375.03
Total Lost
$44,240.00
Avg Win
$117.70
Avg Loss
-$120.22
Largest Win
$345.00
Largest Loss
-$250.00
Sharpe Ratio
2.55
100-day sample
CLV
Tracking
Started Nov 27
Best Win Streak
9 Wins
Days Green Streak
1 Days
Best: 6 days

Performance by Sport

NBA

Record148-113
Net P/L+$2,568.92
ROI+8.95%

NCAAB

Record122-102
Net P/L+$889.01
ROI+3.95%

NFL

Record52-44
Net P/L+$853.76
ROI+6.57%

NCAAF

Record20-22
Net P/L-$194.31
ROI-3.61%

NHL

Record70-71
Net P/L+$811.38
ROI+5.72%

Soccer

Record0-1
Net P/L-$150.00
ROI-100.00%

NCAAW

Record1-0
Net P/L+$47.62
ROI+95.24%

Performance by Position Type

Props

Record22-26
Win Rate45.8%
Net P/L-$1,178.80
ROI-17.93%

Totals

Record22-24
Win Rate47.8%
Net P/L-$655.04
ROI-11.25%

Spreads

Record284-212
Win Rate57.3%
Net P/L+$6,192.00
ROI+9.56%

Moneyline

Record64-66
Win Rate49.2%
Net P/L+$1,246.59
ROI+9.12%

puckline

Record0-1
Win Rate0.0%
Net P/L-$100.00
ROI-100.00%

Conviction Tier Analysis

Low Conviction

< 1u

Record40-45
Win Rate47.1%
Net P/L-$271.09
ROI-4.70%

Standard

1-1.5u

Record295-219
Win Rate57.4%
Net P/L+$6,902.52
ROI+13.38%

High Conviction

2u+

Record54-50
Win Rate51.9%
Net P/L+$91.92
ROI+1.39%

Recent Activity

2026-02-04
Kraken ML +160
W
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Flames ML +120
W
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Red Wings ML +118
L
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Pelicans -4.5 -115
L
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Rockets -7.5 -105
L
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-04
Detroit Mercy +6.5 -110
W
P/L
$0.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-03
Maple Leafs ML +158
W
P/L
+$237.00
Balance
$46,033.72
2026-02-03
Maple Leafs ML +158
W
P/L
+$158.00
Balance
$45,796.72
2026-02-03
La Salle +3
L
P/L
-$200.00
Balance
$45,638.72
2026-02-03
La Salle +3
L
P/L
-$125.00
Balance
$45,838.72
2026-02-03
Magic +9.5
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$45,963.72
2026-02-03
Nets +7.5
L
P/L
-$50.00
Balance
$46,063.72
2026-02-03
Nets +7.5
L
P/L
-$100.00
Balance
$46,113.72
2026-02-03
St. Bonaventure +7.5
W
P/L
+$137.61
Balance
$46,213.72
2026-02-03
Western Michigan +10.5
L
P/L
-$150.00
Balance
$46,076.11

Complete Transparency

Every statistic on this page is calculated from real data. We track every dollar risked, every position taken, and every outcome with complete accuracy.

Total Positions
799
Period
Nov 4, 2025 - Present
Starting Capital
$40,000.00
Current Balance
$44,992.08

All formulas are publicly disclosed. No simulation. No fake positions. 100% transparency.